in_tradingview16d ago
USD/JPY continued its decline for the second consecutive day, dropping to around 159.90 during Friday's Asian session. Selling pressure on the greenback was triggered purely by the release of Tokyo's foreign exchange reserves data, which confirmed large-scale physical intervention in the forex market, combined with the release of very hawkish Japanese domestic wage growth data. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ✅ Fundamental Dynamics: Record Foreign Exchange Reserve Shrinkage & BoJ Interest Rate Signals The yen gained concrete support through concrete actions by the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) and upstream macro data: - MoF "Ammunition" Leak: Official data showed Japan's foreign exchange reserves plummeted by USD 77.11 billion to close May at USD 1.31 trillion. This steepest decline in modern record-keeping history since 2000 confirms speculation that Tokyo has burned through a record JPY 11.7 trillion in aggressive yen buying intervention. - Katayama vs. Takaichi's Firmness: Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama renewed his stern warning at the psychological level of 160.00, emphasizing that authorities are always ready to take appropriate action in the forex market to counter the volatility caused by the Strait of Hormuz conflict. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ✅ Technical Analysis: Testing the Daily Psychological Pivot Level (H4) Technically, USD/JPY is undergoing a healthy correction phase after experiencing a strong price rejection just above the intervention level of 160.00. - Sell Distribution Pattern: The decline below 160.00 demonstrates that short-term speculators are choosing to unwind long positions for fear of facing Katayama's verbal intervention directly. - Focus on the Super NFP Catalyst: All technical movements in USD/JPY this afternoon are projected to slow down and undergo slight consolidation ahead of the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report at 7:30 PM WIB tonight.