in_tradingview94d ago
XAUUSD remains on the defensive as dollar strength and Fed hawkishness continue to weigh on gold. Gold remains under strong downside pressure as the market adjusts to a firmer US dollar and a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% in its March meeting, while Powell signalled that higher oil prices linked to Iran could lift inflation in the short term. That matters because when inflation risks stay elevated, the market becomes more cautious on rate cuts, Treasury yields tend to stay supported, and the dollar gains strength. In that environment, gold usually struggles to hold firm. From a macro perspective, this is not the kind of backdrop that supports aggressive upside in gold. A stronger dollar and reduced expectations for Fed easing are both working directly against the metal, and the chart is now reflecting that pressure clearly. Technical Structure From a technical standpoint, gold is trading in a clear bearish structure. Price has already broken below the descending support trendline and is now pressing into the lower demand zone around 4,750–4,780. The structure currently shows: price has lost trendline support the market is testing the 4,750–4,780 reaction zone if this area fails, the next major downside target opens near 4,550 any short-term rebound should still be treated as corrective while price stays below broken structure This is no longer a chart that suggests stability. It is a chart where sellers remain in control and each bounce is at risk of being sold into again. Key Price Zones Immediate Support: 4,750–4,780 This is the current reaction area. It may trigger a short-term bounce, but it is also the final nearby support before the chart opens lower. Major Downside Target: 4,550 If current support breaks decisively, this becomes the next major bearish target. Overhead Pressure: Any rebound into previously broken structure should still be watched carefully, because sellers may use those rallies to reload. Market Scenarios Corrective bounce: Gold may react from the current support zone and produce a short-term rebound. But unless price reclaims broken structure with real strength, that bounce should still be treated as corrective. Bearish continuation: If the 4,750–4,780 support zone breaks cleanly, the downside may extend towards 4,550, which remains the next major target on the chart. Key takeaway: As long as gold stays below broken structure, sellers continue to hold the broader advantage. Market Insight Gold is now trading under a macro environment that clearly favours the dollar. A more hawkish Fed tone, fading rate-cut expectations, and renewed inflation concerns tied to oil are all reinforcing downside pressure on the metal. From my perspective, the structure remains firmly bearish unless the market proves otherwise. A technical bounce can still happen from current support, but as long as gold stays below broken levels, the larger risk continues to point lower. For now, the message is simple: gold is under pressure, and unless support holds with real strength, the path towards 4,550 remains open.